>APEC CURRENTS
March 2006



> The Newsletter of The Australian APEC Study Centre



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    Trading in the Fragrant Harbour

Last minute agreements by the US and EU to reduce agricultural subsidies shed a ray of light on the WTO Ministerial in Hong Kong last December. The attention is now on whether Doha round agreements can be achieved before the middle of this year. more...

       
   
Arrested Development
   
Is the Doha round good for developing countries? Kristen Osborne, in a report presented at the WTO Ministerial in Hong Kong last December, writes that developing economies are becoming equivocal about trade liberalization by allowing political issues to cloud the trade liberalization agenda. more ...
   
   
 
    Plundering Patents
   

Like innovations in IT, bio-technology offers similar prospects and opportunities to drive economic development in industrialised and developing economies – so long as appropriate drivers are in place that reward innovation and protect intellectual property, writes Alan Oxley. more ...

       
   
The Winding Road to a China - Australia Free Trade Agreement
   

FTA negotiations between China and Australia continue at a moderate pace but whilst agreements in goods are coasting, the same can't be said for services, and wool may be left out all together if a previous FTA between China and Chile is any measure. more ...

       
    Sharing the Good Medicine
   

A report by Bill Bowen shows how market based instruments deliver access and benefits of genetic resources. more...

   
    Life is Risky
   
    Learning to mitigate risk by building capacity is the principal objective of the APEC Study Centre’s MRC Training Program. AusAID recently sponsored regulatory officials from APEC economies to learn how to manage risk by applying best practice approaches in the regulation of financial services. more .... 
       
    2006 Q2 APEC Secretriat Calendar
   
For a look at what's on APEC's agenda. more ....
       
       
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      > FOCUS
       
      Trading in the Fragrant Harbour
     


From 13 – 18 of December the Australian APEC Study Centre sent a delegation to the World Trade Organisation Ministerial Meeting in Hong Kong. 2006 is being seen as a make or break year for the Doha Round. With US Mid-Term Elections in November 2006 and the US President’s Fast Track authority set to expire in 2007 any agreement on the Doha Round needs to be secured in the first half to mid 2006. Any delay in negotiations will likely result in it becoming a political football in the US election cycle, particularly when commitments from developing countries to non-agricultural mark access (NAMA) are weak and US and EU agriculture subsidies are drawing so much criticism.

Despite expectations being lowered prior to the commencement of the actual Ministerial, there was some progress on multilateral trade negotiations with last minute agreements to reduce agriculture subsidies by the United States and Europe in the closing hours of the meeting. Described by US Senate Finance Committee Chairman, Charles Grassley, as “kicking the can” down the road to 2006, it has provided the catalyst for greater progress in the sensitive area of agriculture liberalisation with further commitments by developed countries at the World Economic Forum meeting held in Davos in early 2006.

With so much emphasis placed on agriculture liberalisation prior to the meeting too much focus was placed on subsidies of developed economies and not enough on the commitments of developing countries to liberalisation.

At the Ministerial, the Centre launched its report, “Developing Countries - Arresting or Advancing Development in the Doha Round?”. The report, by Kristen Osborne, analysed developing countries commitments to trade liberalisation and commitments made in the WTO showing that developing countries have been dragging their feet on commitments to liberalisation to their detriment and a successful round in the DDA. As emphasised by Centre Chairman, Alan Oxley, at the Ministerial, the greatest gains from agriculture liberalisation to developing economies come from reducing their own trade barriers. A 2002 World Bank study showed that of the $248 billion gain to the world economy from liberalisation in agriculture, only $31 billion comes from increased market access for developing economies to developed economy markets. $111 billion of the gain comes from developing economies removing their own barriers by making their industries more competitive and their products more desirable for export (see related in article).

The report was launched in the NGO Centre at the Ministerial. The Centre also relaunched its “Developing and effective international regime for access and benefit sharing for genetic resources – Using market-based instruments” report  by Centre Chairman, Alan Oxley, and consultant, Bill Bowen. The Report demonstrates that despite concerns over bio-piracy, there is no evidence of bio-piracy ever occurring and that a new international treaty regime is unnecessary when domestic market based intellectual property systems are capable of protecting the interests of countries while promoting bio prospecting (see related article).

The Centre’s delegation included Centre Chairman, Alan Oxley, Project Manager, Tim Wilson, Consultant, Kristen Osborne and Editor of the Institute of Public Affairs Review Magazine, Chris Berg. The delegation of the Centre also participated in activities of a number of other pro-market, free trade NGOs, including World Growth and the International Policy Network. Since the meeting Project Manager at the Centre, Tim Wilson, has given a number of speeches to local community groups in Melbourne on the WTO and the progress of the Doha Round. Articles on the progress of the negotiations will appear in the IPA Review.



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      > PUBLICATIONS
       
      Arrested Development
       
     

In the paper “Developing countries – arresting or advancing development in the Doha Round?” Kristen Osborne seeks to demonstrate how a disturbing number of developing countries are becoming increasingly reluctant about trade liberalisation in the Doha Round.

Over half want to be subject to lesser commitments or be exempt from commitments to liberalise altogether. Almost 20 per cent formally see the WTO as a forum for bringing down agriculture barriers in developed countries, but not in their own markets. Political issues, rather than opportunities which exist for promoting growth through trade liberalisation, are also increasingly being given priority. New trade arrangements which discriminate in trade are being negotiated by countries that take an insignificant share of global trade (less than a 0.1 per cent each).

Developing countries which remain committed to further global liberalisation are increasingly becoming the exception rather than the rule. A key number are willing to commit to reducing their own trade barriers in the WTO and have also chosen to pursue liberalisation through comprehensive and non-discriminatory bilateral free trade agreements. They generally tend to be those countries which comprise a greater share of global trade (1 per cent or more).

This indicates that too many developing countries do not understand what generates growth. It shows how few regard the Doha Round as an opportunity to use trade liberalisation to promote growth and how many do not understand how best to use the WTO to advance development.

Developing countries with a relatively insignificant share of global trade are playing a significant role in guiding the Doha Round but are they advancing or arresting development?

The report’s thesis is that although farm trade reform in the US and EU is important, it is not where the greatest benefits lie: the real bonanza for developing countries lies in reducing protection in their own backyards – estimated to be $110 billion for reductions in agricultural barriers alone. And that does not account for further liberalisation in services and manufactures. The greatest gains lie in reducing barriers across the board.

Trade contributes most to growth when all governments reduce barriers in all products at the same time. The less this is applied, and the more special exemptions created, the fewer the benefits received.

Trade arrangements between developing countries now increasingly matter. Trade among developing economies is growing quickly and in some products is now significant. With barriers among developing countries high, developing countries can either choose to keep them and harm their own exporters, or use free trade agreements to reduce them.

There is little point in a country (either developing or industrialized), being a member of the WTO which seeks to generate growth through trade liberalisation if it is not serious about using the rules of that organization to support this domestically. There is, however, great harm in seeking to undermine the capacity for other countries who seek to do so.

For the full report click here.

 

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      > ANALYSIS
       
      Plundering Patents
       
     

Unleashing technology is the key to growth in the future. U.S. business showed in the 1990s how the smart use of information technology can deliver record gains in productivity, and biotechnology offers similar prospects. The key to capturing these drivers is good intellectual property law, including patents that reward and protect innovation.

But a coalition of countries led by India and Brazil and supported by NGOs like Oxfam and the World Wide Fund for Nature either don't get this or don't want to. They have embarked on a campaign to weaken the protection that patents provide inventors. They are making clear this week at a United Nations conference on biodiversity in Granada that they want an international convention for that purpose negotiated this year.

Their complaint is that current patent law permits "biopiracy." Their scenario is that multinational companies, typically pharmaceutical manufacturers, secure local natural plants or substances in foreign countries for a pittance, convert them into profitable blockbuster drugs, protect them with patents and pile up the profits. The "traditional owners," often indigenous peoples, of these "genetic resources" are allegedly left with little in return.

In December, Indian Trade Minister Kamal Nath told World Trade Organization delegates in Hong Kong that any deal to open world markets must also include a change in the WTO rules that protect the rights of patent holders. In the name of fighting biopiracy, India wants governments to have the right to authorize any use of a patented product based on or derived from a genetic resource found in their territory.

For example, a hotly disputed case involves the properties of the neem tree, which India claims is indigenous and whose seeds contain a natural fungicide. An American company, W.R. Grace, developed and obtained a U.S. patent for a way to lengthen the shelf life of the fungicide. But India wants the right to say whether or not W.R. Grace can sell this important new product. If the WTO rules were amended as India wants, its approval would be necessary before another country could grant a patent on any product or process involving the neem tree. This clearly would produce a chilling effect on innovation.

Ethiopia, representing the African continent, is taking the anti-patent baton from India. Algeria's Ahmed Djoghlaf, the new executive secretary to the U.N. Convention on Biodiversity, is also on board. He sees this as a chance to negotiate "an international regime which will be the foundation of a new partnership between providers and users of the wealth of Mother Nature." That regime would create the same legal rights that India is seeking in the WTO, namely to control patented products containing derivatives of genetic resources.

The strategy has very radical consequences. The value of patents would be undermined if the patent holder had to defer to someone else about how the patented product would be used. No foreign investor -- be it in manufacturing, IT, biotech or other sectors -- would risk his money in a country that adopted such laws or international conventions. One would hope that the U.N. would want to be certain that biopiracy is a serious problem before going along with something with such a drastic impact.

Yet the U.N. has never undertaken such a review, even though a new private study by the APEC Center at Monash University in Australia highlights the need for one. The study finds no instances of forcible and illegal removal of genetic resources from foreign territory. Nor is there evidence that international companies are buying the rights to these resources for a song and then making billions -- fair contracts are in force in the search for these resources, also known as "bioprospecting."

Furthermore, the study found international companies are losing interest in bioprospecting. One reason is that some countries, like the Philippines and Peru, have tried imposing onerous controls on discoveries of genetic resources, similar to those proposed for the new convention. These measures deter foreign investment as well.

The APEC Center study also found there are simple and effective ways to use market instruments and standard contract law to provide the appropriate protection of sensitive local resources and to deliver benefits to governments and special interest groups. Take an arrangement Merck made with Costa Rica a few years back. Merck paid $2 million up front for a five-year bioprospecting program, a deal which included terms on use of any discoveries. In the end Merck made no commercial discoveries and Costa Rica used the funding for biodiversity programs. But had a stricter international standard for bioprospecting been in place, it's likely that Merck wouldn't have even tried -- and Costa Rica never would have gotten that $2 million.

Why would the U.N. ignore this reality and so casually jeopardize foreign investment in countries that need it so desperately? Other forces are at work. India, for one, has never liked the WTO's intellectual property laws. The laws oblige India to require domestic companies to stop pirating inventions protected by intellectual property elsewhere and to start paying royalties. Yet India has a thriving industry manufacturing such knock-off drugs and a leading company, Cipla, has big ambitions to expand. Restricting the field for foreign competitors and deterring investment in India would suit Cipla -- and protectionist Indian bureaucrats -- just fine. Brazil's position is almost identical.

Both India and Brazil have a long history of constraining foreign investment. The result is many low-growth industries with second-class technologies. Officials in countries that want to lock onto high-growth strategies and foster investment that will bring the latest and most productive technology should be wary about this anti-patent law campaign.


Alan Oxley is the Chairman of the Australian APEC Study Centre.

 

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      > OPINION
       
      The Winding Road to a China - Australia Free Trade Agreement
       
     

Having started in May 2005, negotiations for the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement are progressing at a moderate pace. Several reasons account for this, including perceptions of what constitutes a service: for example, in Australia services are permitted until regulations state otherwise, whereas in China a service is unlikely to be allowed until it is permitted by law. Also Chinese negotiators have been busy with meeting their WTO commitments, taking their focus off the FTA position. And, in seeking to temper Australian expectations, the Chinese have drawn attention to the vulnerability of Australia’s agricultural sector.

Albeit slow, progress in negotiations is being made on goods but the same can’t be said for services. While difficult, liberalising services is part and parcel of trade negotiations for an FTA. On one level China is actively pursuing its service liberalisation agenda ahead of WTO commitments; an example of this is opening up its banking sector. Yet on another level the Chinese are looking towards a preferred FTA model the likes of which it forged with ASEAN that left out services for a later date.

That the Chinese are expending energy on WTO commitments is not necessarily a bad thing because of the common characteristics it shares with FTA negotiations. And more experience will afford a greater level of expertise as negotiations for an agreement progress. Meanwhile China’s position at the WTO also provides some indication towards how it deals at the negotiating table - currently seeking exclusions from its obligations to liberalise in the Doha Development Round.

On agricultural liberalisation, China’s recently concluded FTA with Chile excludes wool altogether. What is telling is that Chile is not a significant wool exporter. It is possible that China may seek a precedent to exclude wool in subsequent FTAs. However it should be noted that much of the trade which occurs between Australia and China is complimentary.

Australia’s negotiators should exercise patience and persistence. The arrival of the Chinese Prime Minister in April will provide impetus for both the Chinese and Australian teams to deliver progress in negotiations.


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      > PUBLICATIONS
       
      Sharing the Good Medicine
       
     

In his paper “Developing an effective international regime for access and benefit sharing for genetic resources using market based instruments” Bill Bowen analyses current efforts to support the development of an international regime to facilitate access to genetic resources.

Work is currently underway to support a regime with some pushing for a high level of regulation, arguing that genetic resources of developing countries constitute a potentially valuable source of income and that companies are likely to develop new products from this genetic material . They believe strict rules need to be imposed lest they not get their fare share of the “green gold”.

A lot of the focus is misplaced according to this paper. No new major drugs have been developed from bioprospecting by pharmaceutical companies in the genetic material of developing countries. There is no “green gold” bonanza. Bioprospecting is falling off and there is no evidence that bio-piracy is a major problem. Therefore, there is no failing in the system which a legally binding international regime might seek to correct. Establishing such a regime will have a negative effect, notwithstanding the fact it undermines national sovereignty and reduces flexibility to apply policies that protect and recognise the unique nature of biodiversity in each country.

There is a better way forward. A market-oriented approach based on the clear delineation of property rights to undertake bioprospecting in developing countries and developing a market where such rights can be freely traded. Such an approach, through better access and equitable distribution of benefits, would optimize the opportunity to develop effective policy responses to managing biodiversity and maximising capacity building.

The report sets out the requirements for a market-based property rights model that is relatively simple. Drawing on key criteria, an assessment of market-based and regulatory models is given including how a market-based system may be constructed and agreement models between host countries and pharmaceutical companies. In doing so this report sets out elements for a non-binding, international regime based on property rights.

For the full report click here.

 

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      > EVENTS
       
      Life is Risky
       
     

The Managing Regulatory Change (MRC) in Financial Services training program was first developed by The Australian APEC Study Centre following the instability caused by the 1997 Asian financial contagion. The ensuing capital flight left many financial sectors debilitated, and in need of assistance to build capacity in order to stabilize and better manage the development of regulatory frameworks moving forward.

Since 2000, funding under the auspices of the Australian Government’s Overseas Aid Program (AusAID) has enabled a substantial number of regulators from APEC member economies including Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam and China to gain exposure to government and industry experts in the field of life insurance, pensions and prudential regulation in banking. The results of the training enable APEC regulators to better manage the risks inherent in developing life insurance, pension and banking products for their burgeoning markets.

In late February, 24 participants were given instruction and resources that sought to build their knowledge in areas including the regulatory environment, annuities and unitized products, corporate governance and operational risks. Content for these programs is directed by the Australian APEC Study Centre’s Advisory Board on Capacity Building in Financial Services that includes members from Commonwealth Treasury, APRA, ASIC, AXA Asia Pacific, Standards and Poor’s and CBA amongst others, and is delivered by experts from both regulatory and industry environments over five to eight days of intensive training.

Significantly, these programs are endorsed by the APEC Finance Ministers’ Group, the G20, and provide Australia an opportunity to contribute its knowledge and expertise to participant economies. The benefits of how to develop risk management techniques that improve regulatory prescriptions result in more stable and less risky economies, and the ensuing outcome of more prosperous economies provides opportunity and stability in the APEC region.

For more information on MRC training programs click here.


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      > FROM THE SECRETARIAT
       
      2006 Q2 APEC Secreatriat Calendar
       
     
______________________________________________________________________________________

APRIL 2006

VENUE

GROUP

MEETING

______________________________________________________________________________________

Apr (tba)

Ha Noi, Viet Nam

TPTWG

27th Meeting of TPTWG

       

03-07 Apr

Shah Alam, Malaysia

SCSC

APEC/APLMF Seminar and Training Courses in Legal Metrology: Practical Application of OIML Recommendation R87 on Pre-packaged Goods (CTI 10/2005)

       

04-05 Apr

Beijing, China

HTF

APEC Symposium on Emerging Infectious Diseases

       

19-21 Apr

APEC Secretariat, Singapore

WGTP

18th Working Group on Trade Promotion

       

23-28 Apr

Calgary, Canada

TELWG

33rd Meeting of TELWG

       

26-28 Apr

Shanghai, People's Republic of China

MRCWG

19th Meeting of the MRCWG

______________________________________________________________________________________

MAY 2006

VENUE

GROUP

MEETING

______________________________________________________________________________________

May (tba)

tba

TWG

28th Meeting of TWG

       

04-06 May

Da Nang, Viet Nam

Meeting of Ministers Responsible for Avian and Pandemic Influenza

       

08-09 May

Kaoshiung, Chinese Taipei

FWG

Seminar on Sharing Experiences in Managing Fishing Capacity

       

09-12 May

Montreal, Canada

ABAC

2nd Meeting of ABAC

       

09-12 May

Santiago, Chile

LSIF

Seminar on Harmonization of Medical Device Regulation

       

10-12 May

Kaoshiung, Chinese Taipei

FWG

17th FWG Meeting

       

15-19 May

Singapore

EWG

31st Meeting of EWG

       

20-30 May

Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

SOM

APEC SOM II Meeting and Related Meetings

______________________________________________________________________________________

JUNE 2006

VENUE

GROUP

MEETING

______________________________________________________________________________________

01-02 Jun

Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam

Meeting of Ministers Responsible for Trade

       

11-15 Jun

Taipei, Chinese Taipei

ADOC Week and ADOC Award 2006

       

13-15 Jun

Ha Long Bay, Viet Nam

ATCWG

Meeting of ATCWG

       

14-16 Jun

Nha Trang, Viet Nam

FMP

22nd Meeting of FMM TWG

       

15-16 Jun

Bangkok, Thailand

SCSC

Seminar on the Development of the APEC Sectoral Food MRA

Source: APEC Secretariat


       
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APEC Currents is edited and published by The Australian APEC Study Centre.
Copyright 2006, Monash University.

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